Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.358982 5.853592 6.393722 7.031043 7.767301 8.597055 9.611377
2025-02-16 4.536159 5.201156 5.983482 6.986466 8.260504 9.857228 12.064940
2025-02-23 4.091737 4.846534 5.780928 7.052221 8.786716 11.152850 14.788558
2025-03-02 3.673420 4.447550 5.439944 6.848135 8.872928 11.820918 16.757233
2025-03-09 3.376477 4.161887 5.198211 6.721979 9.015406 12.556844 18.991583
2025-03-16 3.162402 3.959922 5.039552 6.679070 9.254026 13.462133 21.767327
2025-03-23 3.044568 3.874242 5.027506 6.839376 9.818961 15.007305 26.297309
2025-03-30 2.843141 3.654586 4.801506 6.643163 9.764600 15.438660 28.674162
2025-04-06 2.666579 3.457287 4.591054 6.446488 9.676444 15.780913 30.984633
2025-04-13 2.512804 3.282665 4.400619 6.261455 9.580199 16.082775 33.331303
2025-04-20 2.403752 3.166373 4.289394 6.194306 9.685980 16.818790 37.231430
2025-04-27 2.363174 3.148049 4.326019 6.376871 10.283582 18.761017 46.012993
2025-05-04 2.301753 3.101072 4.324080 6.511288 10.850378 20.908958 57.989241
2025-05-11 2.213286 3.008843 4.245061 6.504727 11.141446 22.519148 70.162505
2025-05-18 2.146053 2.944927 4.206588 6.566924 11.590750 24.731313 89.004885
2025-05-25 2.039880 2.813667 4.046676 6.383445 11.461315 25.247313 99.589364
2025-06-01 1.954803 2.711475 3.929056 6.269742 11.475287 26.222454 115.775625
2025-06-08 1.889241 2.637078 3.853778 6.231040 11.661120 27.840392 142.253592
2025-06-15 1.858339 2.616804 3.870001 6.375578 12.324076 31.439485 206.196775
2025-06-22 1.779370 2.514052 3.735197 6.198641 12.137005 31.816391 233.986348
2025-06-29 1.705414 2.416634 3.604939 6.021033 11.924373 32.036982 263.163978
2025-07-06 1.637583 2.326798 3.483878 5.853698 11.717516 32.227963 296.287420
2025-07-13 1.589416 2.267883 3.415480 5.792915 11.794329 33.697162 378.371119